Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.001037 1.182781e-03 0.001330 0.001489 0.001655 0.001824 0.002008
2025-08-10 0.000756 9.575591e-04 0.001169 0.001406 0.001660 0.001924 0.002217
2025-08-17 0.000569 8.084912e-04 0.001070 0.001371 0.001704 0.002055 0.002451
2025-08-24 0.000388 6.436712e-04 0.000937 0.001287 0.001683 0.002108 0.002596
2025-08-31 0.000281 5.486232e-04 0.000873 0.001271 0.001730 0.002232 0.002812
2025-09-07 0.000209 4.870111e-04 0.000840 0.001286 0.001809 0.002387 0.003061
2025-09-14 0.000131 4.019159e-04 0.000770 0.001251 0.001825 0.002468 0.003225
2025-09-21 0.000091 3.616958e-04 0.000753 0.001274 0.001907 0.002621 0.003467
2025-09-28 0.000069 3.462031e-04 0.000765 0.001333 0.002029 0.002819 0.003757
2025-10-05 0.000038 3.014446e-04 0.000732 0.001333 0.002079 0.002932 0.003951
2025-10-12 0.000019 2.729919e-04 0.000720 0.001356 0.002154 0.003072 0.004174
2025-10-19 0.000004 2.323759e-04 0.000685 0.001347 0.002189 0.003165 0.004341
2025-10-26 NaN 1.775282e-04 0.000634 0.001332 0.002238 0.003299 0.004586
2025-11-02 NaN 1.059894e-04 0.000540 0.001255 0.002207 0.003340 0.004727
2025-11-09 NaN 6.340477e-05 0.000482 0.001223 0.002233 0.003447 0.004944
2025-11-16 NaN 2.136389e-05 0.000398 0.001143 0.002193 0.003474 0.005067
2025-11-23 NaN 5.592269e-06 0.000359 0.001128 0.002235 0.003598 0.005303
2025-11-30 NaN 3.257880e-07 0.000341 0.001143 0.002315 0.003768 0.005592
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000296 0.001109 0.002328 0.003854 0.005780
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.000285 0.001132 0.002416 0.004032 0.006076
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.000294 0.001188 0.002549 0.004265 0.006438
2025-12-28 NaN NaN 0.000272 0.001188 0.002604 0.004401 0.006683
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.000263 0.001210 0.002689 0.004572 0.006968